Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 1,846
Cover Image
Inflation, endogenous market segmentation and the term structure of interest rates
Vries, Casper G. de; Wang, Xuedong - 2015
consider the implications of a risk premium that arises from endogenous market segmentation driven by variable inflation rates …. In the absence of autocorrelation in inflation, the risk premium is constant. If inflation is correlated, however, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288797
Cover Image
57 channels (and nothin on) : does TV-news on the Eurozone affect government bond yield spreads?
Wolfinger, Julia; Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A.; … - 2018
news shows of leading TV stations in 12 countries which include 37,859 news on the EU, on the Eurozone and on country …-specific economic issues. We find that an increasing share of news about the Eurozone reduces yield spreads, especially when the news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011955600
Cover Image
The term structure of interest rates in a heterogeneous monetary union
Costain, James; Nuño, Galo; Thomas, Carlos - 2022
We build a no-arbitrage model of the yield curves in a heterogeneous monetary union with sovereign default risk, which can account for the asymmetric shifts in euro area yields during the Covid-19 pandemic. We derive an affine term structure solution, and decompose yields into term premium and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285648
Cover Image
"Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? : bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects
Afonso, António; Arghyrou, Michael Georgiou; Gadea, … - 2017
This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735972
Cover Image
An extended macro-finance model with financial factors
Dewachter, Hans; Iania, Leonardo - 2010
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937808
Cover Image
On creditor seniority and sovereign bond prices in Europe : conference paper
Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2013
The recent increase of interest rate spreads in Europe and their apparent detachment from underlying fundamental variables has generated a debate on multiple equilibria in the sovereign bond market (see De Grauwe and Ji (2012)). We critically evaluate this hypothesis, by pointing towards an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341164
Cover Image
"Whatever It Takes!" : how tonality of TV-news affected government bond yield spreads during the European debt crisis
Hirsch, Patrick; Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A.; … - 2024
to identify over 25,000 news on the Eurozone and country-specific economic topics. Our findings emphasize the relevance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486807
Cover Image
Interest rates under falling stars
Bauer, Michael D.; Rudebusch, Glenn D. - 2017
Theory predicts that the equilibrium real interest rate, r*t, and the perceived trend in inflation, ð*t, are key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688099
Cover Image
The rate of return on everything, 1870-2015
Jordà, Òscar; Knoll, Katharina; Kuvshinov, Dmitry; … - 2018
This paper answers fundamental questions that have preoccupied modern economic thought since the 18th century. What is the aggregate real rate of return in the economy? Is it higher than the growth rate of the economy and, if so, by how much? Is there a tendency for returns to fall in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794864
Cover Image
The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the role of expectations : evidence from the Ifo world economic survey
Henzel, Steffen (contributor);  … - 2006
, we follow Roberts (1997) and Adam and Padula (2003) and use direct measures of inflation expectations. The data source is … the Ifo World Economic Survey, which quarterly polls economic experts about their expected future development of inflation … turns out to more relevant for most countries in our sample. (ii) The use of survey data for inflation expectations yields a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301367