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making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
Labour income follows a deterministic growth trend and fluctuates between two values. Interest rates are drawn initially, fluctuate between two values and can differ in their arrival rates. Low interest rates imply a stationary long-run wealth distribution, high interest rates imply exploding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138857
Climate change is predicted to substantially alter forest growth. Optimally, forest owners should take these future changes into account when making rotation decisions today. However, the fundamental uncertainty surrounding climate change makes predicting these shifts hard. Hence, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012015877
with the Arrow/Romer approach to endogenous growth to analyze the interaction of risk, growth, and inequality, the latter …. Major results include that growth, inequality, and risk are positively related in our model, but we also identify a hump …-shaped relationship between welfare and risk, indicating a tradeoff relationship between risk-pooling and growth in the determination of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009540768
Under conditions of risk it makes a difference whether the discount rate is determined as an expected present or as an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412052
Wealthier households obtain higher returns on their investments than poorer ones. How should the tax system account for this return inequality? I study capital taxation in an economy in which return rates endogenously correlate with wealth. The leading example is a financial market, where the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499593
Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383579
as predictors. Third, we pool the forecasts in clusters to hedge against model risk and to evaluate the usefulness of …, and reducing tail risk. Using the same approach for return forecasts, however, does not lead to a consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416151
risk premium, as well as its volatility. The analysis applies fractional integration methods to data for the US, Germany … weekly). The empirical findings in most cases imply that the market risk premium is a highly persistent variable which can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199998
This paper proposes a novel test of zero pricing errors for the linear factor pricing model when the number of securities, N, can be large relative to the time dimension, T, of the return series. The test is based on Student t tests of individual securities and has a number of advantages over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646274