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decisions on the EU-wide average of inflation and growth or should it instead focus on (appropriately weighted) national welfare … losses based on national rates of inflation and growth? We find that a central bank that minimises the sum of national … common shocks is large relative to the inflation bias and if idiosyncratic demand shocks in the non-tradables sector are not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409772
medium run. In the event of a cost-push shock, the central bank leans with the wind to increase demand and reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697125
residuals of the policy rule equation at these shock dates accordingly. In spite of its utmost agnostic nature, this approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288003
This paper develops a small open economy (SOE) dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that helps to explain business cycle synchronization between an emerging market and advanced economies. The model captures the specificities of both economies (e.g. primary commodity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029113
inflation. Hence, the initial response of inflation to monetary shocks is not sufficient to discriminate across models and for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011936316
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
We employ a structural VAR model with global and US variables to study the relevance and transmission of oil, food commodities, and industrial input price shocks. We show that commodities are not all alike. Industrial input price changes are almost entirely endogenous responses to other shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014550949
In this paper, we explore the degree of anchoring of consumers' individual long-run inflation expectations utilizing …-run inflation expectations became more anchored over the last decades, as the degree of co-movement between short- and long … seems that older cohorts, who experienced the high inflation period of the 1970s, remain less anchored in their long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846446
relevant for pass-through: beliefs about the expected duration of the shock and its interaction with price rigidities. We then … employ a hypothetical vignette to study the causal effect of nominal and real rigidities as well as the nature of the shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306740
We analyze the impact of price stability-oriented monetary strategies (inflation targeting - IT - and constraining … exchange rate arrangements) on inflation persistence using a time-varying coefficients framework in a panel of 68 countries … (1993-2013). We show that explicit IT has a stronger effect on taming inflation persistence than implicit IT and is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597229