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Climate change is already increasing the severity of extreme weather events such as with rainfall during hurricanes. But no research to date investigates if, and to what extent, there are social inequalities in current climate change-attributed flood impacts. Here, we use climate change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668885
Hurricanes are among the costliest natural disasters in the world, with a significant portion of their impact linked to the accuracy of their forecasts. In this paper, we estimate the economic impacts of the official hurricane forecasts in the US and develop a new approach for measuring the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013426083
-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430
The economics of climate change involves a vast array of uncertainties, complicating both the analysis and development of climate policy. This study presents the results of the first comprehensive study of uncertainty in climate change using multiple integrated assessment models. The study looks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011344715
Recent theoretical work in the economics of climate change has suggested that climate policy is highly sensitive to "fat-tailed" risks of catastrophic outcomes (Weitzman, 2009b). Such risks are suggested to be an inevitable consequence of scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199723
Previous research shows that collective action to avoid a catastrophic threshold, such as a climate "tipping point", is unaffected by uncertainty about the impact of crossing the threshold but that collective action collapses if the location of the threshold is uncertain. Theory suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249688
derive a general analytic formula for the "risk premium" governing the resulting climate policy. The formula generalizes … making under uncertainty. It clarifies the distinct roles of risk aversion, prudence, characteristics of the damage … formulation, and future policy response. We show that an optimal response to uncertainty substantially reduces the risk premium. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597858
assumption of (intertemporal) risk neutrality reduces the growth effect in social discounting and significantly amplifies the … importance of risk and correlation. Second, debate and models largely overlook the difference in attitude with respect to risk … and with respect to non-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488887
International climate negotiations take place in a setting where uncertainties regarding the impacts of climate change are very large. In this paper, we examine the influence of increasing the probability and impact of large climate change damages, also known as the 'fat tail', on the formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690831
If the threshold that triggers climate catastrophe is known with certainty, and the benefits of avoiding catastrophe are high relative to the costs, treaties can easily coordinate countries' behavior so as to avoid the threshold. Where the net benefits of avoiding catastrophe are lower, treaties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684058