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describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns … ; volatility ; stock market ; transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003942099
03/1/2000-12/5/2013. The estimated VAR-GARCH(1,1) model allows for both mean and volatility spillovers and for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422554
This paper uses a VAR-GARCH(1,1) model to analyse mean and volatility spillovers between macro news (in the form of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444455
framework is suitable to analyse both mean and volatility spillovers, and also allows for possible parameter shifts resulting … food crisis and 2008 financial crisis leading to the most significant shifts in the (volatility) spillovers between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498617
volatility, namely, seasonality and maturity effects for the pre-financialisation (1993-2003) and post-financialisation (2004 … futures' volatility before the financialisation period, open interest as a measure of liquidity has a negative effect after ….e. volatility of the contract increases as it nears to expiration since financialisation. This confirms the importance of accounting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599014
The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502542
Covid-19. We show that there exist threshold effects in the relationship between output growth and excess global volatility … observations. Our results show that the Covid-19 pandemic will lead to a significant fall in world output that is most likely long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293790
slow down and contract. In this paper, we study the interrelation between financial markets volatility and economic … common factors affect volatility and economic activity with a time lag of at least a quarter. Under these assumptions, we … show analytically that volatility is forward looking and that the output equation of a typical VAR estimated in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338658
volatility and the persistence of the German stock index have fallen significantly relative to those of the U.S. index. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397990
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638