Showing 1 - 10 of 1,435
A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421123
We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668994
were from election dates. The gradual relaxation of "lockdown style" restrictions ahead of the elections was driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014310050
beginning of their terms, but in line with the preferences of single-issue minorities as they approach re-election. To assess …'s predictions, election proximity has a pro-gun effect on Democratic senators and a pro-environment effect on Republican senators … size. Also in line with our theory, election proximity has no impact on senators' decisions on reproductive rights, because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011814857
1930s and was still raging when he left office. We analyze how the trade war impacted the 2020 US Presidential election …-back of such expansion. Absent this anti-Trump effect, Trump would have been on the precipice of re-election by winning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171058
This article analyses the dynamics of electoral promises, building on an electoral competition model with endogenous policies. It extends the Grossman-Helpman (1994) model [Grossman G., Helpman E. [1994], "Protection for sale", American Economic Review, 84, 4, 833-850] to include sanctions from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003806719
During the last decade unicameral proposals have been put forward in fourteen US states. In this paper we propose a theoretical framework casting some lights on the drawbacks of bicameral state legislatures and on the effects of the proposed constitutional reforms. In a setting where lawmakers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850512
Random factors such as bad weather or exogenous economic shocks affect the re-election of politicians and can reduce … accountability. Such distorted election choices interact with the architecture of government. Contrasting centralized with … decentralized political systems, this study shows that centralization is likely to result in higher accountability if election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887189
positive effect of election stakes on turnout. -- voter motivation ; elections ; turnout …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008696687
. Our results indicate that the fall in revenue in election periods is attributed to a fall in direct taxation. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003923827