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We measure the economic risk of epidemics at a geo-spatially detailed resolution. In addition to data about the …’s resilience (its ability of the recover rapidly from the shock). We find that the economic risk of epidemics is particularly high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156716
In this study, we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of several modern Value-at- Risk (VaR) estimators … derived from extreme value theory (EVT). Specifically, in a multi-asset study covering 30 years of stock, bond, commodity and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587888
the period 1972:1-2014:12 to forecasts our tail risk indicators with each model in pseudo-real time. Our key finding is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498601
potentially loss averse around their expected outcome make risky investments in education and we draw on optimal tax theory to … explore the design of policy. The model highlights the critical roles played by (i) the relationship between behavioural risk … preferences, standard risk aversion and labour supply behaviour, (ii) the risk properties of education, and (iii) the degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010467858
Under conditions of risk it makes a difference whether the discount rate is determined as an expected present or as an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412052
for as long as possible. We also pay attention to how the legislative "risk" of tipping into policy action affects the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039083
One possible determinant of overpricing on asset markets is a lack of self-control abilities of traders. Self-control is the individual capacity to override or inhibit undesired behavioral tendencies such as impulses and to refrain from acting on them. We implement the first experiment that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444434
The standard literature on working time has modelled the decisions of firms in a deterministic framework in which firms can choose between employment and overtime (given mandated standard hours). Contrary to this approach, we consider the impact of uncertainty and real options on the decision of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409991
degree of pessimism of the representative agent is the mean of the individual ones weighted by their index of absolute risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507677
-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430