Showing 1 - 10 of 4,178
This paper establishes new evidence on the cyclical behaviour of household income risk in Great Britain and assesses …. We then estimate how income risk, measured by the variance and the skewness of the probability distribution of shocks to … the role of social insurance policy in mitigating against this risk. We address these issues using the British Household …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996331
transitory income (e.g., from a stimulus check) is higher under non-Gaussian earnings risk. … idiosyncratic risk implied by the benchmark process is between two-to-four times higher than the canonical Gaussian one. Third, the … standard method in the literature for measuring the pass-through of income shocks to consumption—can significantly overstate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543845
risk of workers, which mitigates their precautionary savings motive. Using a quantitative model analysis, we show that this … recessions. First, we show that the consumption risk of short-time work is considerably smaller compared to unemployment using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332143
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657891
This paper examines the relationship between idiosyncratic risk in labour income and fluctuations in aggregate labour … BHPS sub-sample of Understanding Society for 2010-2014. We measure idiosyncratic risk in labour income by the relevant … idiosyncratic risk increases during contractions in the labour market. Furthermore, we find evidence of insurance, both at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011624196
This paper documents earnings dynamics over the life-cycle and income level using a large administrative database from … normality. For the bottom earners, large income changes are driven equally by hours and wages which is consistent with …, there is no evidence of an added-worker effect but government insurance and income pooling can mitigate the pass-through of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012534545
boom yields consistently positive excess returns. This excess return compensates for the risk of high negative returns in … countries on risk aversion, and low (high) risk aversion currencies depreciate (appreciate) in times of global turmoil. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
-agents model with two main ingredients: i) rare disasters; ii) heterogeneous beliefs. The model captures time-varying risk premia … and precautionary savings in a setting that nests the textbook New Keynesian model. The model generates large movements in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014514921
This paper shows the importance of technological synergies among heterogeneous firms for aggregate fluctuations. First, we document six novel empirical facts using microdata that suggest the existence of important technological synergies between trading firms, the presence of positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496498