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The view that high unemployment in West Germany and other European countries is caused by a path dependence effect - or … hysteresis effect - is quite popular among economists. However, because of an identification problem, much of the empirical … is argued that in a cointegration framework it is reasonable to define hysteresis as the absence of weak exogeneity of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781510
This paper points out an empirical failing of real business cycle models in which unemployment is endogenized through a matching function. One can easily choose a calibration to make the cyclical fluctuation in unemployment as large in the model as it is in the data, or to make the response of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509369
This paper characterizes the optimal redistributive tax schedule in a matching unemployment framework where (voluntary) nonparticipation and (involuntary) unemployment are endogenous. The optimal employment tax rate is given by an inverse employment elasticity rule. This rule depends on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009518227
Using European Commission real-time data, we show that potential output (PO) estimates were substantially and persistently revised downwards after the Great Recession. We decompose PO revisions into revisions of the capital stock, trend labor, and trend total-factor productivity (TFP)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026398
We adapt the models of Menzio and Moen (2010) and Snell and Thomas (2010) to consider a labour market in which firms can commit to wage contracts but cannot commit not to replace incumbent workers. Workers are risk averse, so that there exists an incentive for firms to smooth wages. Real wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010237280
This paper is based on the ideas of political philosopher John Rawls who suggested that a just society is one which would be created behind a "veil of ignorance", that is to say, without knowing where one would end up in the society's distribution of talent and other attributes valued in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011497927
concludes with an empirical application to consumer price inflation in Germany, France and Italy, and re-examines the extent to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010169
This paper shows that the matching function and the Beveridge curve in the United States exhibit strong nonlinearities over the business cycle. These patterns can be replicated by enhancing a search and matching model with idiosyncratic productivity shocks for new contacts. Large negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444082
A key question in labor market research is how the unemployment insurance system affects unemployment rates and labor market dynamics. We revisit this old question studying the German Hartz reforms. On average, lower separation rates explain 76% of declining unemployment after the reform, a fact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011936315
This paper provides a model of "social hysteresis", whereby long, deep recessions demotivate workers and thereby lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009753001