Showing 1 - 10 of 3,848
is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising. Uncertainty surrounding climate change remains large. The closed …-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude …, distributional moments, and the climatic shadow values. Welfare gains from reducing uncertainty about temperature feedbacks are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430
scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased greenhouse gas concentrations on climate. Criticisms of this controversial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199723
define the individual degree of pessimism as an index measuring probability differences across states. We show that the … tolerance. From this central result, we show how increasing disagreement on the state probability affects the state probability … of the representative agent. We show that the divergence of opinions about the probability of occurrence of a boom may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507677
, decision makers can be biased, display aversion to prior uncertainty, and thus tend to select choices that are familiar (i … of risk-averse investors who select risky projects in an environment characterized by epistemic uncertainty (risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247316
Environmental managers face substantial uncertainty when deciding on management actions. To reduce this uncertainty … on the management cost, the assumed value of a good state and on the level of uncertainty regarding the ecological state …. In addition, we observe a negative relation between the relative management cost and the prior probability that maximises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014228294
We compare preferences for temporal resolution when uncertainty is resolved over a probability rather than a value. In … whether values or probabilities define the main object of uncertainty. In our experiment, however, most subjects resolved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456336
An extensive literature has studied ambiguity aversion in economic decision making, and how ambiguity aversion can account for empirically observed violations of expected utility-based theories. Almost all relevant applied models presume a general dislike of ambiguity. In this paper, we provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496989
Consider a simple two-state risk with equal probabilities for the two states. In particular, assume that the random wealth variable Xi dominates Yi via ith-order stochastic dominance for i = M,N. We show that the 50-50 lottery [XN + YM, YN + XM] dominates the lottery [XN + XM, YN + YM] via (N +...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790970
discuss discontinuities and sheepskin effects within this approach. -- human capital theory ; uncertainty ; irreversibility … human capital investment decision. Real option theory offers a new perspective of the human capital investment decision … under uncertainty and irreversibility. Unlike other approaches we include accumulative schooling costs, and provide a full …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897279
The paper studies the interaction between cyclical uncertainty and investment in a stochastic real option framework … of the link between cyclical uncertainty and investment is quantified using simulations of the model. The chief … ; Markov switching ; Tobin's q, uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872827