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The official unemployment rate has become an inadequate measure of labor market conditions. This poses a major … unemployment rate by weighing part-time workers with 62.5%, the proportion of the time they work relative to full-time workers. We … provide new monthly estimates of the unemployment rate for the period 1994-2019 and find that their average during this 25 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104103
U3, the official unemployment rate, is an inadequate gauge of labor-market slack and the extent to which it misinforms … varies substantially over the business cycle. The U6 unemployment rate is usually about 4 percentage points above U3. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012123041
in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian … policy ; model uncertainty ; Bayesian model averaging ; unemployment gap ; Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813633
. This model yields a simple relationship between (i) the unemployment rate, (ii) the value of non-market time, and (iii) the … and allow for measurement error. The estimated wage dispersion and mismatch for the US is consistent with an unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010505
economy. While about half of all studies for the United States find a significant effect of unemployment and inflation on … choice of the sample period is of crucial importance. While in the very long run we find unemployment, inflation and the …. -- presidential popularity ; approval ; unemployment ; inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511756
with the hypothesis that locals will provide more tips to the enforcement agency when unemployment is high, we find that … the number of audits conducted grows with increased local unemployment. We also find that a congressman's party …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009533971
Even before the Great Recession, U.S. employment growth was unimpressive. Between 2000 and 2007, the economy gave back the considerable employment gains achieved during the 1990s, with a historic contraction in manufacturing employment being a prime contributor to the slump. We estimate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528328
We build an analytically and computationally tractable stochastic equilibrium model of unemployment in heterogeneous … countercyclical unemployment, and is simultaneously consistent with procyclical reallocation, countercyclical separations and a … negatively-sloped Beveridge curve. Moreover, the model exhibits unemployment duration dependence, which (when calibrated to long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009691688
conditions are a major determinant of entrepreneurship. Higher local unemployment rates are found to increase the probability … individuals who are initially not employed respond more to high local unemployment rates by starting businesses than wage … influences resulting in higher levels of business creation. Using the regression estimates for the local unemployment rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009712435