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price, the equilibrium risk-free rate, and risk premia. Climate disasters, which are more likely to occur sooner as … temperature rises, significantly increase risk premia. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258563
-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude … is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising. Uncertainty surrounding climate change remains large. The closed …, distributional moments, and the climatic shadow values. Welfare gains from reducing uncertainty about temperature feedbacks are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430
or 1.5oC. The safe carbon budget is lower if uncertainty about the transient climate response is high and risk tolerance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011717248
derives max-min, max-max and min-max regret policies to deal with this particular form of climate (model) uncertainty and with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718250
making under uncertainty. It clarifies the distinct roles of risk aversion, prudence, characteristics of the damage … formulation, and future policy response. We show that an optimal response to uncertainty substantially reduces the risk premium. … the resulting warming over the next decades and centuries highly uncertain. We quantify how this uncertainty changes the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597858
scientific uncertainty about the effects of increased greenhouse gas concentrations on climate. Criticisms of this controversial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199723
of IEA formation when countries are risk neutral and another that explores the implications of uncertainty and risk …This paper analyses the formation of international environmental agreements (IEAs) under uncertainty, focusing on the … role of learning and risk aversion. It bridges two strands of literature: one focused on the role learning for the success …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010234539
. Uncertainty about the future rate of growth of the economy and emissions and the risk of macroeconomic disasters (tail risks) also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249287
Climate physics predicts that the intensity of natural disasters will increase in the future due to climate change. We present a stochastic model of a growing economy where natural disasters are multiple and random, with damages driven by the economy's polluting activity. We provide a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438060
, clean technological progress, as well as uncertainty about climatic and economic factors, lead to lower emissions and … relative to a 'straw man' model with perfect capital mobility, fixed abatement costs and no uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472310