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infinite-horizon learning, and subjective expectations with Euler-equation learning. Under rational expectations, the model … necessitates of large, possibly unrealistically so, degrees of myopia. The same result persists under infinite-horizon learning …, given that agents are still remarkably far-sighted. But, under Euler-equation learning, the model can fit the data with only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012509319
This paper addresses the steep learning curve in Machine Learning faced by non-computer scientists, particularly social … adage ”once you understand OLS, you can work your way up to any other estimator,” and apply it to Machine Learning. Focusing … and fire some trailblazers to the forefront of AI and causal machine learning. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015070152
How can naiveté about present bias persist despite experience? To answer this question, our experiment investigates … the nature of the task at the second date further shows that learning is unencumbered by a change in environment. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958789
study experimentally to what extent cross-game learning can reduce overbidding in SPAs, taking into account cognitive skills … losses from high bids are more salient than in SPAs. Experience in FPAs causes substantial cross-game learning for … bid shading by cognitively more able participants, resulting in lower profits in FPAs. Thus, cross-game learning has the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668312
-term relationships were more resilient in the 2008/9 financial crisis. Based on these findings, we present a model of importer learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011417707
We report two information cascade game experiments that directly test the impact of altruism on observational learning … substantial public information which increases the earnings of participants. In Experiment 2, participants have better … opportunities to learn about the strategies played by observed which amplifies the impact of altruism on observational learning. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436128
We conduct a randomized field experiment to study the effects of two financial education interventions offered to small …-scale retailers in rural western Uganda. The treatments contrast "active learning" with traditional "lecturing" within standardized … lesson-plans. After six months, active learning has a positive effect on savings and investment outcomes, in contrast to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170928
We designed four observational learning experiments to identify the key channels that, along with Bayes …-rational inferences, drive herd behavior. In Experiment 1, unobserved, whose actions remain private, learn from the public actions made in … observational learning accounts for the phenomenon of excessive herding, it captures well herd behavior with medium quality signals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011789104
We develop a model of firm learning in volatile markets with noisy signals and test its predictions using historical … German data. Firms' forecasts improve with age. We exploit German Reunification as a natural experiment where firms in the … improvements from learning are faster where market signals are noisier. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580632
We present a dynamic lifecycle model of women's choices with respect to partnership status, labour supply and fertility when a male partner's true tendency for abusive behaviour is unobserved. The model is estimated by the method of simulated moments using longitudinal data from the Avon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011822638