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This article takes issue with a recent book by Ziliak and McCloskey (2008) of the same title. Ziliak and McCloskey argue that statistical significance testing is a barrier rather than a booster for empirical research in many fields and should therefore be abandoned altogether. The present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732285
Established tests for proper calibration of multivariate density forecasts based on Rosenblatt probability integral transforms can be manipulated by changing the order of variables in the forecasting model. We derive order invariant tests. The new tests are applicable to densities of arbitrary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011845266
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641668
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003624609
We review tests of null hypotheses that consist of many subsidiary null hypotheses, including tests that have not received much attention in the econometrics literature. We study test performance in the context of specification testing for linear regressions based on a Monte Carlo study....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505804
level, a subject that is currently under debate in Germany where states do have virtually no power to tax. We use a simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003730271
We model the optimal reaction of a public PAYG pension system to demographic shocks. We compare the ex-ante first best and second best solution of a Ramsey planner with full commitment to the outcome under simple third best rules that mimic the pension systems observed in the real world. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003771791
-corporate sectors in Germany. In doing so, we perform a counterfactual analysis and ask how the allocation of capital across sectors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003771793
Redistributive grants schemes, such as fiscal equalization, are a common characteristic of local public finance in several countries. However, large and small jurisdictions are treated differently by the respective fiscal equalization schemes that often tend to favour larger jurisdictions. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790563
Conventional pension systems suffer from a design defect which makes them financially unsustainable, and a source of inefficiency for the economy as a whole. The paper outlines a second-best policy which includes a public pension system made up of two parallel schemes, a Bismarckian one allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003820014