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We explore the intertwined dynamics of asset prices and the macroeconomy in a Behavioural model of Credit Cycles (BCC) characterized by a credit friction à la Kiyotaki and Moore and heterogeneous expectations cum heuristic switching à la Brock and Hommes. This behavioural approach allows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380476
We propose a theory of indebted demand, capturing the idea that large debt burdens by households and governments lower … aggregate demand, and thus natural interest rates. At the core of the theory is the simple yet under-appreciated observation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199991
This paper undertakes a normative investigation of the quantitative properties of optimal tax smoothing in a business cycle model with state contingent debt, capital-skill complementarity, endogenous skill formation and stochastic shocks to public consumption as well as total factor and capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340166
This paper investigates the interdependence between the risk-pooling activity of the financial sector and: output, consumption, risk-free rate, and Sharpe ratio in a dynamic general equilibrium model of a productive economy. Due to their exposure to idiosyncratic shocks and market segmentation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040094
being a contentious recent example. Some pundits go so far as to take the position that macroeconomic theory has failed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008653412
In this paper we use the property that certainty equivalence, as implied by a first-order approximation to the solution of stochastic discrete-time models, breaks in its equivalent continuous-time version. We study the extent to which a first-order approximated solution built by perturbation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012211025
and labor market frictions. The value of collateral is driven by the forward-looking dynamics of the land price, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412305
We use a novel quarterly dataset of U.S. states to examine the dynamics and determinants of relative government spending multipliers in the decade surrounding the Great Recession. We find average multipliers that are similar to those that have been reported for the decades preceding the crisis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654641
the EMU. -- monetary union ; inflation ; differentials ; collateral constraints ; cross-country heterogeneity ; household …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732365
We assess how survey expectations impact production and pricing decisions on the basis of a large panel of German firms. We identify the causal effect of expectations by matching firms with the same fundamentals but different views about the future. The probability to raise (lower) production is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012001909