Showing 1 - 10 of 3,891
This paper deals with cryptocurrency bubbles. First, it points out that a number of recent papers on cryptocurrency … bubbles are awed due to an insufficient consideration of the fundamental value of cryptocurrencies. As even fiat money is said … to exhibit features of bubbles, the same applies to cryptocurrencies. Thus, any empirical investigation into either the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033146
Using a battery of timely multivariate time series techniques I study the Bitcoin cryptocurrency price series and web search queries with regard to their mutual predictability, Granger-causality and cause-effect delay structure. The Bitcoin is at first treated as a general currency, then as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026340
We develop a model of rational bubbles based on leverage and the assumption of an imprecisely known maximum market size … lend to traders with limited liability in a bubble is endogenous. Bubbles reduce welfare of future investors. We provide … general conditions for the possibility of bubbles depending on uncertainty about market size, traders' degree of leverage and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780495
This paper introduces a new modelling approach that incorporates nonlinear, exponential deterministic terms into a fractional integration model. The proposed model is based on a specific version of Robinson's (1994) tests and is more general that standard time series models, which only allow for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431268
speculative bubbles in Germany over the sample period 1987Q3 - 2012Q4. Overall, we find that actual house prices are not … significantly disconnected from underlying economic fundamentals. Thus, there is no evidence of speculative house price bubbles in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764458
What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 … countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while … others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309562
that SPC in general might be a useful tool in constructing early warning systems for asset price bubbles. -- statistical … process control ; real estate ; asset prices bubbles ; early warning systems …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009631674
Should the central bank prevent "excessive" asset price dynamics or should it wait until the boom spontaneously turns into a crash and intervene only afterwards? The debate over this issue goes back at least to the exchange between Bernanke-Gertler (BG) and Cecchetti but has not settled yet. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009377794
The paper models the links between financial fragility, asset markets and monetary policy. It is shown that central bank's concern about the cost of financial disruption generates an asymmetric response, thus contributing to the creation of an asset price bubble. In an economy with a highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398119
which bubbles and crashes occur at unpredictable moments. We contrast these behavioural bubbles with rational bubbles. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401333