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Cutting through the value chain : the long-run effects of decoupling the East from the West
Felbermayr, Gabriel; Mahlkow, Hendrik; Sandkamp, … - 2022
With ever-increasing political tensions between China and Russia on one side and the EU and the US on the other, it … to cooperate rather than turning away from each other. By imposing a trade war on Russia, the political West could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186412
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Has the Russian invasion of Ukraine reinforced anti-globalization sentiment in Austria?
Gutmann, Jerg; Pitlik, Hans; Fronaschütz, Andrea - 2022
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused disruptions in international trade and highlighted the dependency of small open economies in Europe on imports, especially of energy. These events may have changed Europeans' attitude towards globalization. We study two waves of representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362395
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Do China and Russia undermine US sanctions? : evidence from DiD and event study estimation
Gutmann, Jerg; Neuenkirch, Matthias; Neumeier, Florian - 2022
panel difference-in-differences estimations and an event study design. Motivated by the claim that China and Russia … purposefully undermine US sanction efforts, we test whether target countries' trade with China and Russia increases under US trade … sanctions. We find no evidence for systematic sanction busting. Russia does not change its trade patterns with sanctioned …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455721
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International agreements, economic sovereignty and exit
Richardson, Martin; Stähler, Frank - 2018
We develop a model in which it is uncertainty about the future domestic policy environment that both makes international cooperation attractive and induces the possibility of a nation reneging on such an international agreement. We show, in a fairly general setting in which the likelihood of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809916
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Determinants of constitutional change : why do countries change their form of governments?
Hayo, Bernd; Voigt, Stefan - 2010
A country's form of government has important economic and political consequences, but the determinants that lead countries to choose either parliamentary or presidential systems are largely unexplored. This paper studies this choice by analyzing the factors that make countries switch from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003975563
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Subjective and objective indicators of racial progress
Stevenson, Betsey; Wolfers, Justin - 2013 - This draft: March 15, 2013
Progress in closing differences in many objective outcomes for blacks relative to whites has slowed, and even worsened, over the past three decades. However, over this period the racial gap in well-being has shrunk. In the early 1970s data revealed much lower levels of subjective well-being...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009727116
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When to expect a coup d'état? : an extreme bounds analysis of coup determinants
Gassebner, Martin; Gutmann, Jerg; Voigt, Stefan - 2016
Over the last several decades, both economists and political scientists have shown interest in coups d’état. Numerous studies have been dedicated to understanding the causes of coups. However, model uncertainty still looms large. About one hundred potential determinants of coups have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524614
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Digital tools and the derailment of Iceland's new constitution
Thorvaldur Gylfason; Meuwese, Anne - 2016
This paper maps the use of digital tools in the Icelandic constitutional revision process of 2011 and discusses its aftermath in subsequent years. Although causal links between the digital elements of the process and the content and fate of the constitutional bill are impossible to establish, an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509253
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Chain of legitimacy : constitution making in Iceland
Thorvaldur Gylfason - 2016
To understand Iceland's political situation, it is necessary to consider the historical background to the post-crash constitutional revision process launched in 2009. Also, the paper offers a brief account of some aspects of the constitution-making process during 2010-2013, including the work of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515362
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Constitution on ice
Thorvaldur Gylfason - 2014
This paper reports recent events in Iceland where the political agents of oligarchs didn't even bother to try to influence, let alone contest, a national referendum on a new constitution because, if they didn't like the result, they would simply find ways to nullify the outcome ex post. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010428807