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consumption via managing inflation expectations based on the Euler equation. Unconventional fiscal policy uses trivial … announcements of future consumer-price increases to boost inflation expectations and consumption expenditure on impact. Instead … inflation expectations and spending today. We find households' inflation expectations and readiness to spend react substantially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057290
We investigate the international linkages of inflation uncertainty in the G7. In a first step, we document that … inflation uncertainty in the G7 is intertwined. Moreover, the degree of synchronization has increased during the recent two … international shock that drives national inflation uncertainty and which is closely related to oil and commodity price uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009730542
How does competition affect information acquisition of firms and thus the response of inflation and output to monetary … uncertainty about inflation as a non-targeted moment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200269
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003871923
How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty measure proposed by Ludvigson, Ma, and Ng (2019) is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
We study the link between expected inflation and wages using novel panel data from German firms and employees. We find … that pass-through—the percentage point change in wage growth given a one percentage point change in expected inflation … margin, expected inflation has little effect on additional wage negotiations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015061156
study the causal effect of unconventional fiscal policies on consumption expenditure via the inflation-expectations channel … (VAT) effective in 2007. This shock increased German households' inflation expectations during 2006, as well as actual … inflation in 2007. Matched households in other European countries serve as counterfactuals in a difference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436147
Unconventional fiscal policy uses announcements of future increases in consumption taxes to generate inflation … 2007. The shock increased households' inflation expectations during 2006 and actual inflation in 2007. Germans' willingness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523731
Unconventional fiscal policy uses announcements of future increases in consumption taxes to generate inflation … households increased their inflation expectations and willingness to purchase durables before the increase in VAT. Future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011789190
inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029