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the pre-1980 period. Measuring expectations of future monetary policy rates conditional on a news shock suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990092
milder macroeconomic responses to a monetary policy shock estimated with our VAR in presence of high uncertainty. A version …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781355
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657891
This paper explores time variation in the dynamic effects of technology shocks on U.S. output, prices, interest rates as well as real and nominal wages. The results indicate considerable time variation in U.S. wage dynamics that can be linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008806609
We study the Ramsey optimal monetary policy within the Golosov and Lucas (2007) state-dependent pricing framework. The model provides micro-foundations for a nonlinear Phillips curve: the sensitivity of inflation to activity increases after large shocks due to an endogenous rise in the frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015071168
This paper introduces agent heterogeneity, liquidity, and endogenous default to a DSGE framework. Our model allows for a comprehensive assessment of regulatory and monetary policy, as well as welfare analysis in the different sectors of the economy. Due to liquidity and endogenous default, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003923247
Most theoretical central bank models use short horizons and focus on a single tradeoff. However, in reality central banks play complex, long horizon games and face more than one tradeoff. We account for these issues in a simple infinite horizon game with a novel tradeoff: higher rates deter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009753000
This paper provides a framework for modeling the risk-taking channel of monetary policy, the mechanism how financial intermediaries' incentives for liquidity transformation are affected by the central bank's reaction to financial crisis. Anticipating central bank's reaction to liquidity stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009533969
Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762
Recession, as well as the V-shaped recoveries that followed the oil shock recessions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533939