Showing 1 - 10 of 4,320
We investigate whether violations of canonical axioms of choice under risk are mistakes or a manifestation of true … preferences. Among the behavioral patterns that allow for a clear-cut interpretation on the decision level, we find that roughly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014556632
We compare preferences for temporal resolution when uncertainty is resolved over a probability rather than a value. In various frameworks-e.g., Kreps and Porteus (1978)-, preferences over gradual versus one-shot resolution do not depend on whether values or probabilities define the main object...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456336
, agents can either decide rationally according to expected utility theory or intuitively according to case-based decision …We study the influence of reason and intuition on decision making over time. Facing a sequence of similar problems … theory. Rational decisions are more precise but create higher costs, though these costs may decrease over time. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464891
We analyze a psychologically-based model of voter turnout in an election with common value and uncertainty. Our model yields distinctive comparative statics results. First, an increase in the proportion of informed citizens may cause the winning margin for the right candidate to either rise or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418265
can generate systematic biases in revealed preference measures such as spurious risk aversion. These effects are very …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340230
when a decision is complex, they implicitly treat different time delays to some degree alike. By experimentally measuring … when the decision environment is more complex. Third, cognitive uncertainty matters for choice architecture: people who are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697938
In prosocial decisions, decision-makers are inherently uncertain about how their decisions impact others’ utility – we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576953
We conduct an incentivized experiment on a nationally representative US sample (N=708) to test whether people prefer to avoid ambiguity even when it means choosing dominated options. In contrast to the literature, we find that 55% of subjects prefer a risky act to an ambiguous act that always...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014426529
Using the framework provided by the asymmetric-information and real-options theories, we examine the impact of uncertainty on firms' decisions and market outcomes. We construct alternative measures of uncertainty based on survey of professional forecasters and our estimation of regression-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764986
decision maker's prior information to be asymmetric across choices. In this paper, I solve the RI-logit model analytically for …, decision makers can be biased, display aversion to prior uncertainty, and thus tend to select choices that are familiar (i … of risk-averse investors who select risky projects in an environment characterized by epistemic uncertainty (risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247316