and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a …

We analyze the exchange rate forecasting performance under the assumption of selective attention. Although currency … for the presence of selective attention offer improved fitting and forecasting results. Specifically, we document a …

' performance is skill-based. 'Superior' forecasters show consistent ability as their forecasting success holds across currencies …

that divergence in monetary policy regimes affects forex volatility spillovers but that adding oil to a forex portfolio … shocks dominate forex volatility connectedness, positive shocks prevail when oil and forex markets are assessed jointly …

. Daily data reveal significant differences in volatility on the last of three meeting days when the interest rate … macroeconomic news effects on the foreign exchange market. We find evidence for non-linear regime switching between a high-volatility …, informed-trading state and a low-volatility, liquidity-trading state. MPC surprise announcements are shown significantly to …

implications for exchange rates, volatility, returns to currency investing, and transaction costs. This blow-by-blowʺ narrative is …

This paper proposes an explanation of the shifts in the volatility of exchange rate returns that relies on standard … may lead agents to focus excessively on a subset of fundamental variables. As a result, exchange rate volatility is mainly … determined by the dynamics of this subset of fundamentals. As agents switch between models the nominal exchange rate volatility …

This paper studies the dynamics of volatility transmission between Central European currencies and euro/dollar foreign … exchange using model-free estimates of daily exchange rate volatility based on intraday data. We formulate a flexible yet … parsimonious parametric model in which the daily realized volatility of a given exchange rate depends both on its own lags as well …

The relationship between volume and volatility has received much attention in the the literature of financial markets … the impact of volume on volatility in the the FX-market using a unique data set of daily trading in the Swedish krona (SEK … depict a positive correlation with volatility. However, the strength of the relationship depends on the instrument used and …