Showing 1 - 10 of 3,958
firms can observe each other's decisions, they are able to increase the accuracy of their actions. While reducing volatility … at the individual level, social learning may lead to an increase in volatility at the aggregate level depending on the … network topology. Moreover, if the network is very asymmetric, aggregate volatility does not decay as predicted by the law of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489440
We leverage the small open economy Switzerland as a testing ground for basic premises of macroeconomic models of endogenous information acquisition, using tailored surveys of firms and households. First, we show that firms perceive a greater exposure to exchange rate movements than households,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697102
We conduct an experiment with a representative sample from the US to study households’ demand for macroeconomic information. Respondents who learn of a higher personal exposure to unemployment risk during recessions increase their demand for an expert forecast about the likelihood of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300259
We propose a method to measure people's subjective models of the macroeconomy. Using a sample of 2,200 households representative of the US population and a sample of more than 1,000 experts, we measure beliefs about how the unemployment rate and the inflation rate respond to four different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104048
We study the effects of monetary policy on aggregate consumption combining a heterogeneous agent model with measured expectations under different policy counterfactuals. We express the consumption of non-hand-to-mouth households as a function of expectations only and elicit all expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489702
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638
volatility índices (namely the originally created RTSVX and the new RVI that has replaced it), using daily data over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903723
We study a segmented-markets setting in which self-fulfilling volatility can arise. The only requirements are (i) asset … valuation ratios stationary (e.g., cash flow growth rises when valuations rise). We prove that when self-fulfilling volatility … susceptible to self-fulfilling fluctuations. The tight theoretical connection between price volatility and arbitrage is detectable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260973
for the years 1970 - 2004, we document how the volatility of hours worked and of wages of workers at different skill … volatility of employment, and this effect is strongest for low-skilled workers. A higher share of low-skilled employment has a … dampening impact. -- labor-market volatility ; skill levels ; financial globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850520
This paper presents empirical evidence against the popular perception that macro volatility is exogenous. We obtain tax … effects on macro volatility, explicitly modeling the unobserved variance process. We find a strong empirical link between … taxes and output volatility. Accounting for non-stationarity of taxes and output volatility, we find empirical evidence of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872749