observations. Our results show that the Covid-19 pandemic will lead to a significant fall in world output that is most likely long …

panel difference-in-differences estimations and an event study design. Motivated by the claim that China and Russia … purposefully undermine US sanction efforts, we test whether target countries' trade with China and Russia increases under US trade … sanctions. We find no evidence for systematic sanction busting. Russia does not change its trade patterns with sanctioned …

the world output loss that materialized during the great recession would have been 13% lower in absence of GFU shocks. We … after GFU shocks, the larger the world output contraction is. …

This study examines the effects of geopolitical risk and global uncertainty on energy prices, conditioned by different …

globalization. We study two waves of representative population surveys conducted in Austria, one right before the Russian invasion … globalization and import dependency as a short-term reaction to economic turbulences and geopolitical upheaval at the onset of war … in Europe. We show that two months after the invasion, anti-globalization sentiment in general has not spread, but that …

, and inflation volatility, and in global macroeconomic indicators like the oil price, world stock market returns, and … exchange rate volatility. The results indicate that in a globalized world spillovers from emerging markets and industrial … countries other than the G7 play a relevant role for major aspects of the G7 and world business cycle. …

We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14%. …