Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 1,661
Cover Image
Do China and Russia undermine US sanctions? : evidence from DiD and event study estimation
Gutmann, Jerg; Neuenkirch, Matthias; Neumeier, Florian - 2022
panel difference-in-differences estimations and an event study design. Motivated by the claim that China and Russia … purposefully undermine US sanction efforts, we test whether target countries' trade with China and Russia increases under US trade … sanctions. We find no evidence for systematic sanction busting. Russia does not change its trade patterns with sanctioned …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455721
Cover Image
Different no more : country spreads in advanced and emerging economies
Born, Benjamin; Müller, Gernot J.; Pfeifer, Johannes; … - 2020
Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762
Cover Image
Country-specific oil supply shocks and the global economy : a counterfactual analysis
Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2015
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528313
Cover Image
A counterfactual economic analysis of Covid-19 using a threshold augmented multi-country model
Chudik, Alexander; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - 2020
observations. Our results show that the Covid-19 pandemic will lead to a significant fall in world output that is most likely long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293790
Cover Image
The G7 business cycle in a globalized world
Carstensen, Kai; Salzmann, Leonard - 2016
, and inflation volatility, and in global macroeconomic indicators like the oil price, world stock market returns, and … exchange rate volatility. The results indicate that in a globalized world spillovers from emerging markets and industrial … countries other than the G7 play a relevant role for major aspects of the G7 and world business cycle. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499802
Cover Image
Has the Russian invasion of Ukraine reinforced anti-globalization sentiment in Austria?
Gutmann, Jerg; Pitlik, Hans; Fronaschütz, Andrea - 2022
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused disruptions in international trade and highlighted the dependency of small open economies in Europe on imports, especially of energy. These events may have changed Europeans' attitude towards globalization. We study two waves of representative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362395
Cover Image
Lock, stock, and barrel : a comprehensive assessment of the determinants of terror
Gassebner, Martin; Lüchinger, Simon - 2011
We assess the robustness of previous findings on the determinants of terrorism. Using extreme bound analysis, the three most comprehensive terrorism datasets, and focusing on the three most commonly analyzed aspects of terrorist activity, i.e., location, victim, and perpetrator, we re-assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009266761
Cover Image
The economic effects of international sanctions : an event study
Gutmann, Jerg; Neuenkirch, Matthias; Neumeier, Florian - 2021
Although international sanctions are a widely used instrument of coercion, their economic effects are still not fully understood. This study uses a novel dataset and an event study approach to evaluate the economic consequences of international sanctions, thereby accounting for pre-treatment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500430
Cover Image
Arming in the global economy : the importance of trade with enemies and friends
Garfinkel, Michelle Robin; Syropoulos, Constantinos; … - 2019 - Current version: December 10, 2018
We analyze how trade openness matters for interstate conflict over productive resources. Our analysis features a terms-of-trade channel that makes security policies trade-regime dependent. Specifically, trade between two adversaries reduces each one's incentive to arm given the opponent's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966909
Cover Image
The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Kima, Richard - 2020
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14%. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213164