Showing 1 - 10 of 2,571
We examine how the tail risk of currency returns over the past 20 years were impacted by central bank (monetary and … effects last for up to 1 month, and are proportionally higher for joint QE actions. This cross-border source of tail risk is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336426
We measure the economic risk of epidemics at a geo-spatially detailed resolution. In addition to data about the …’s resilience (its ability of the recover rapidly from the shock). We find that the economic risk of epidemics is particularly high … in most Africa, the Indian subcontinent, China, and Southeast Asia. These results are consistent when comparing an ad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156716
This study finds that even small unexpected supply shocks propagate downstream through production networks and are amplified by firms with short-term financial constraints. The unexpected 2011 increase in the tax on imports purchased with foreign-sourced trade credit is examined using data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294883
It is standardly assumed that individuals adjust to perceived unfairness or norm violations in precisely the same area or relationship where the original offense has occurred. However, grievances over being exposed to injustice may have even broader consequences and also spill over to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008697792
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003624831
It is notoriously difficult to identify peer effects within the family, because of the common shocks and reflection problems. We make use of a novel identification strategy and unique data in order to gain some purchase on this problem. We employ data from the universe of children born in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011610897
This paper considers a simple model of credit risk and derives the limit distribution of losses under different … results obtained indicate that if firm-specific risk exposures (including their default thresholds) are heterogeneous but come … from a common parameter distribution, for sufficiently large portfolios there is no scope for further risk reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003120648
Consumption risk sharing among U.S. federal states increases in booms and decreases in recessions. We find that small … aggregate risk sharing are more pronounced in states in which small firms account for a large share income or employment. In … to have loosened the dependence of aggregate risk sharing on the business cycle. Not only do our result support that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807913
Uncertainty about the future course of the economy is a possible driver of aggregate fluctuations. To identify the different dimensions of uncertainty in the macroeconomy we construct a large dataset covering all types of economic uncertainty. We then identify two fundamental factors which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412767
From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive … has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674278