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Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762
Using the measures proposed by Mink et al. (2012), we reexamine the coherence of business cycles in the euro area using a long sample period. We also analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business cycle coherence and examine whether our measures for business cycle coherence indicate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168003
programs in a pandemic recession. We calibrate the stationary equilibrium and the pandemic shock to the U.S. economy, taking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166369
We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks originating in the US on the Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in favor of asymmetric spillover effects. Unemployment in Canada is shown to react to uncertainty shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862894
per capita) mediated by product vulnerabilities. We account for the precise lag between when the COVID-19 shock hit the … a lower degree of complexity negatively affected exports as a result of this shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013167964
This paper analyzes the initial impact and recovery of globally engaged firms from the COVID-19 crisis. It uses rich …, those directly involved with international markets show better recovery than the ones that were indirectly involved. These … results mask wide variation by firm traits, sectoral attributes, and country characteristics. At the core of the recovery of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013183698
The highly dynamic nature of the COVID-19 crisis poses an unprecedented challenge to policy makers around the world to … the COVID-19 shock translates into a noticeable reduction in gross labor income across the entire income distribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383744
We present real time survey evidence from the UK, US and Germany showing that the labor market impacts of COVID-19 differ considerably across countries. Employees in Germany, which has a well-established short-time work scheme, are substantially less likely to be affected by the crisis. Within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012211549
Recession, the primary determinant of the U.S. economic contraction in early 2020 was a sharp drop in domestic demand. Although …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012550202
Recession, as well as the V-shaped recoveries that followed the oil shock recessions. …We propose a theoretical framework to reconcile episodes of V-shaped and L-shaped recovery, encompassing the behaviour … of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533939