The conventional wisdom that inflation expectations respond to the level of the price of oil (or the price of gasoline … price shocks may indeed drive one-year household inflation expectations. The model shows that there have been several such … episodes since 1990. In particular, the rise in household inflation expectations between 2009 and 2013 is almost entirely …

, prompting them to raise markups and prices in anticipation of potentially higher future inflation. These findings establish a … connection between heightened uncertainty, higher core inflation, and increased profits. …

in tailored panel surveys of German firms and households, conducted before and during a large shock to inflation. Using … are more likely to adjust inflation expectations during the shock, have higher confidence in their beliefs, and hold … smaller misperceptions about realized inflation, yet their expectations about future inflation deviate more strongly from …

-in the context of a historic surge in inflation. We measure economic narratives in open-ended survey responses and represent …, households' narratives strongly shape their inflation expectations, which we demonstrate with descriptive survey data and a …

We investigate the international linkages of inflation uncertainty in the G7. In a first step, we document that … inflation uncertainty in the G7 is intertwined. Moreover, the degree of synchronization has increased during the recent two … international shock that drives national inflation uncertainty and which is closely related to oil and commodity price uncertainty …

Earlier studies of the seigniorage inflation model have found that the high-inflation steady state is not stable under … on stationary hyperinflationary paths near the high-inflation steady state. The hyperinflationary paths are stable under …

This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that … evolution over time. On the whole, the evidence suggests that the degree of persistence of UK inflation has been relatively …-Bretton Woods changes in UK inflation are attributable to a fall in the volatility of permanent shocks. …

This paper explores communication strategies for anchoring households’ medium-term inflation expectations in a high … inflation environment. We conducted a survey experiment with a representative sample of 4,000 German households at the height of … the recent inflation surge in early 2023, with information treatments including a qualitative statement by the ECB …

Inflation expectations are central to economics because they affect the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy as … well as realized inflation. We survey the recent literature with a focus on the inflation expectations of households. We … first review standard data sources and discuss their advantages and disadvantages. We then document that household inflation …

We study the effects of forward-looking communication in an environment of rising inflation rates on German consumers …' inflation expectations using a randomized control trial. We show that information about rising inflation increases short- and … long-term inflation expectations. This initial increase in expectations can be mitigated using forward-looking information …