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This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro …-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
We examine asset prices in a representative-agent model of general equilibrium. Assuming only that individuals are risk … averse, we determine conditions on the changes in asset risk that are both necessary and sufficient for the asset price to … incomplete in the sense of containing an uninsurable background risk, such as a risk on labor income. We extend our model to show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398103
macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the … estimating risk premia and highlights the proliferation of risk pricing factors that result in a wide range of different asset …-price-based expectation measures. It then describes a key methodological innovation to evaluate the empirical plausibility of risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
has proved difficult in practice, because time-varying risk premia often render the futures price a poor measure of the … the futures price by the estimated risk premium, a common problem is that there are as many measures of the market … expectation as there are estimates of the risk premium. We propose a general solution to this problem that allows us to select the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434566
exert a large and persistent effect on the volatility of stock returns of acquirers and that this response is crucially … - engender a positive response in acquirers' volatility. Our results suggest that acquisitions affect uncertainty because they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158166
We examine the asymmetric impact of shocks to macroeconomic expectations and their underlying dispersion on equity risk … for the price of risk. We also document that the survey expectations-augmented specification reduces pricing and premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388605
We document the empirical fact that asset prices in the consumption-goods and investment-goods sector behave almost identically in the US economy. In order to derive the cyclical behavior of the equity returns in these two sectors, we consider a standard two-sector real-business cycle model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786095
boom yields consistently positive excess returns. This excess return compensates for the risk of high negative returns in … countries on risk aversion, and low (high) risk aversion currencies depreciate (appreciate) in times of global turmoil. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999