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Have macroeconomic models lost their connection with economic reality?
Veen, Tom van - 2020
Macroeconomic theory has developed into increasingly sophisticated mathematical models. In the words of Mankiw … the development of macroeconomic theory over the past 40 years. The focus is on the main lines of thinking and the story … changes in macroeconomic theory and that the current debates after the GFC will be the start of a more plural approach to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012211109
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Searching for Keynes : an essay on the political economy of fiscal policy, with application to Canada, 1870-2000 - revised version
Winer, Stanley L.; Ferris, John Stephen - 2003
Keynes' General Theory (1936) is arguably one of the most important books of the twentieth century. His ideas for … stabilizing the aggregate economy have profoundly influenced economic theory as well as popular opinion about what governments can … and should do with respect to the business cycle. On the other hand, whether Keynesian theory has substantially altered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509394
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Reasons for the demise of interest : savings glut and secular stagnation or central bank policy?
Mayer, Thomas; Schnabl, Gunther - 2019
, from the perspective of Austrian business cycle theory, interest rates were step by step decreased by central banks to … nihilo and the need of time to produce capital invalidates the IS identity assumed in the Keynesian theory to hold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012124862
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Behavioral economics and macroeconomic models
Driscoll, John C.; Holden, Steinar - 2014 - This version: 7 April 2014
Over the past 20 years, macroeconomists have incorporated more and more results from behavioral economics into their models. We argue that doing so has helped fixed deficiencies with standard approaches to modeling the economy-for example, the counterfactual absence of inertia in the standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010350486
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Revisiting the great ratios hypothesis
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2022
The idea that certain economic variables are roughly constant in the long-run is an old one. Kaldor described them as stylized facts, whereas Klein and Kosobud labelled them great ratios. While such ratios are widely adopted in theoretical models in economics as conditions for balanced growth,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013041372
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Reactivity in economic science
Frey, Bruno S. - 2017
There is a fundamental difference between the natural and the social sciences due to reactivity. This difference remains even in the age of Artificially Intelligent Learning Machines and Big Data. Many academic economists take it as a matter of course that economics should become a natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700543
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Expectations and the stability of stock-flow consistent models
Meijers, Huub; Muysken, Joan; Piccillo, Giulia - 2023
Expectations are usually introduced in macroeconomic stock-flow consistent models (SFC-models from hereon) in an ad hoc way, without much motivation. Moreover, these are usually very simple forms of expectations, and certainly not some form of rational expectations. The implicit assumption is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383687
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Tests of policy ineffectiveness in macroeconometrics
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2014
This paper proposes tests of policy ineffectiveness in the context of macroeconometric rational expectations models. It is assumed that there is a policy intervention that takes the form of changes in the parameters of a policy rule, and that there are sufficient observations before and after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010375404
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Macroeconomics with a thick pen
Gronwald, Marc; Jin, Xin - 2023
This paper introduces two co-movement measures based on the Thick Pen Transform into the macroeconomic literature: the Thick Pen Measure of Association (TPMA) as well as Multi-Thickness Thick Pen Measure of Association (MTTPMA). Both measures are non-parametric, time-varying, and flexible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281390
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The burden of unanticipated government spending
Heer, Burkhard; Scharrer, Christian - 2016
We study the impact of a government spending shock on the distribution of income and wealth between cohorts in a dynamic stochastic Overlapping Generations model with two types of households, Ricardian households and rule-of-thumb consumers. We demonstrate that an unexpected increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458011