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Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2014

demonstrate that loose monetary conditions lead to booms in real estate lending and house prices bubbles; these, in turn …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468583

Political booms, financial crises

Herrera, Helios; Ordoñez, Guillermo; Trebesch, Christoph - 2014

We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments' popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391815

Investment in productivity and the long-run effect of financial crises in output

Ridder, Maarten de - 2016

This paper analyzes the channels through which financial crises exert long-term negative effects on output. Recent models suggest that a shortfall in productivity-enhancing investments temporarily slows technological progress, creating a gap between pre-crisis trend and actual GDP. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573282

Double-question survey measures for the analysis of financial bubbles and crashes

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Johnsson, Ida - 2016

This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals.subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586267

Financial cycles, credit bubbles and stabilization policies

Corrado, Luisa; Schuler, Tobias - 2018

This paper analyzes the effects of several policy instruments to mitigate financial bubbles generated in the banking … policy instruments in counteracting financial bubbles. We find that an endogenous capital requirement reduces the impact of a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011952012

Supply restrictions, subprime lending and regional US house prices

Anundsen, André Kallåk; Heebøll, Christian - 2015

With regard to the recent US house price cycle, we analyze how the interaction between housing supply restrictions, mortgage credit constraints and a price-to-price feedback loop affects house price volatility. Considering 247 Metropolitan Statistical Areas, we estimate a simultaneous boom-bust...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488113

Market depth, leverage, and speculative bubbles

Enders, Zeno; Hakenes, Hendrik - 2017

We develop a model of rational bubbles based on leverage and the assumption of an imprecisely known maximum market size … lend to traders with limited liability in a bubble is endogenous. Bubbles reduce welfare of future investors. We provide … general conditions for the possibility of bubbles depending on uncertainty about market size, traders' degree of leverage and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780495

Monetary policy, vagabonding liquidity and bursting bubbles in new and emerging markets : an overinvestment view

Schnabl, Gunther (contributor); … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599390

Different no more : country spreads in advanced and emerging economies

Born, Benjamin; Müller, Gernot J.; Pfeifer, Johannes; … - 2020

Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762

Monetary policies of large industrialised countries, emerging market credit cycles and feedback effects

Andreas, Hoffmann; Schnabl, Gunther - 2014

. Based on an overinvestment framework, we show that in the prevailing asymmetric world monetary system, monetary policies of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337620

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