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economic growth. The model is estimated using quarterly data for Germany, the UK and the US from 1960 to 1999. Our econometric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001900202
-1995. More detailed evidence is also presented for Germany, Japan and the United Kingdom. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001452360
and Germany to condition the relationship between real wages and business fluctuations on the phase of the cycle, it is … demonstrated that the inconclusive evidence is not only caused by measurement problems, estimation method and composition bias as … general, the evidence for countercyclical wages is stronger in Germany than for the US, but taken together there is no clear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002104675
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001652953
In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and seasonal components and the working day effect. The most important findings are: 1) The growth rate of potential output declined from 4.2 per cent in the sixties to 1.4 per cent at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001653716
This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order … ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the cycle the estimation of the output gap is much more precise and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001452302
The concept of the "employment threshold" plays an important role in the public of unemployment. The employment threshold is defined as that growth rate of output which is necessary to keep employment constant despite the continuous rise in labor productivity. It is related to the Okun...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001474052
We estimate forward-looking interest-rate reaction functions for the G3 economies and for a group of countries which recently adopted inflation targets. Some significant shifts in the conduct of monetary policy are detected in the G3 countries, especially in the USA and Japan. In contrast with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001477148
We examine the comovements between the output indexes of three German sectors (manufacturing, mining, and agriculture) and the three corresponding sectoral stock market indexes. It is found that data with and without seasonal adjustment give mixed results on the long-run interaction between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001597629
This paper surveys the empirical literature on the association between growth on inequality in less developed countries, with a particular emphasis on labor market inequality. Cross-country studies failed to find a clear link from growth to inequality. Country-specific studies that focused on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002246156