Showing 1 - 10 of 20
debt crisis. It shows that a deterioration in countries’ fundamentals and fundamentals contagion – a sharp rise in the … spreads during the crisis, not only for euro area countries but globally. By contrast, regional spill overs and contagion have … been less important, including for euro area countries. The paper also finds evidence for herding contagion – sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605670
This paper focuses on the role of real exchange rate volatility as a driver of portfolio home bias, and in particular as an explanation for differences in home bias across financial assets. We present a Markowitz-type portfolio selection model in which real exchange rate volatility induces a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604731
The paper shows that US monetary policy has been an important determinant of global equity markets. Analysing 50 equity markets worldwide, we find that returns fall on average around 3.8% in response to a 100 basis point tightening of US monetary policy, ranging from a zero response in some to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604662
The paper analyses whether, and to what extent, emerging market economies (EMEs) have systemic importance for global financial markets, above and beyond their influence during crises episodes. Using a novel database of exogenous economic and political shocks for 14 systematically relevant EMEs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604770
We show that international consumption risk sharing is significantly improved by capital flows, especially portfolio investment. Concomitantly, we show that poor institutions hamper risk sharing, but to an extent that decreases with openness. In particular, risk sharing is prevalent even among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604872
This paper analyses the impact of the shift away from a US dollar focus of systemically important emerging market economies (EMEs) on configurations between the US dollar, the euro and the yen. Given the difficulty that fixed or managed US dollar exchange rate regimes remain pervasive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605019
This paper takes a financial market perspective in examining the relationship between oil prices, the US dollar and asset prices, and it exploits the heteroskedasticity for the identification of causality in a multifactor model. It finds a bidirectional causality between the US dollar and oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605734
unexplained increases in factor loadings as indicative of contagion. We find evidence of systematic contagion from US markets and … contagion from domestic equity markets to individual domestic equity portfolios, with its severity inversely related to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605427
This paper analyzes the role of contagion in the currency crises in emerging markets during the 1990s. It employs a non …: contagion, weak economic fundamentals, and sunspots, i.e. unobservable shifts in agents' beliefs. Testing this model empirically … through Markov-switching and panel data models reveals that contagion, i.e. a high degree of real integration and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604185
This paper develops a new Early Warning System (EWS) model for predicting financial crises, based on a multinomial logit model. It is shown that EWS approaches based on binomial discrete-dependent-variable models can be subject to what we call a post-crisis bias. This bias arises when no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604191