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several advantages compared to the linear correlation measure in modeling comovement. This paper introduces a copula ARMA-GARCH … model for analyzing the comovement of indexes in German equity markets. The model is implemented with an ARMA-GARCH model … skewed Student's t copula ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model with Lévy fractional stable noise is superior to alternative models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046500
The paper investigates the interdependence and conditional correlations between futures contracts and their underlying assets, both for stock and bond markets, and the impact of the interdependence and conditional correlations on VaR forecasts. The paper finds evidence of volatility spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731676
-Exponential Conditional Correlation (MECC) model. The paper applies the WDCC approach to the exponential GARCH (EGARCH) and GJR models to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732622
intermediate regimes is considered and modeled with the introduction of a smooth-transition mechanism in a GARCH specification. One … power. A smooth-transition GARCH specification is tested and estimated with stock returns and exchange-rate data. While a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620812
This paper describes a GAUSS program of a Markov-chain sampling algorithm for GARCH models proposed by Nakatsuma (1998 …). This algorithm allows us to generate Monte Carlo samples of parameters in a GARCH model from their joint posterior … distribution. The samples obtained by this algorithm are used for Bayesian analysis of the GARCH model. As numerical examples …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620814
Using unobservable conditional variance as measure, latentvariable approaches, such as GARCH and stochasticvolatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986437
Both unconditional mixed-normal distributions and GARCH models with fat-tailed conditional distributions have been … employed for modeling financial return data. We consider a mixed-normal distribution coupled with a GARCH-type structure which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958539
, such as GARCH models, are investigated, to determine if they are more appropriate for predicting future return volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958558
While much of classical statistical analysis is based on Gaussian distributional assumptions, statistical modeling with the Laplace distribution has gained importance in many applied fields. This phenomenon is rooted in the fact that, like the Gaussian, the Laplace distribution has many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958588
) forecasting ability of the normal-GARCH model. Compared to the use of more sophisticated GARCH models, the new method is fast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958670