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Lessons for monetary policy: What should the consensus be?
Issing, Otmar - Center for Financial Studies - 2011
This paper outlines important lessons for monetary policy. In particular, the role of inflation targeting, which was much acclaimed prior to the financial crisis and since then has not lost much of its endorsement, is critically reviewed. Ignoring the relation between monetary policy and asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958514
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Transparency in monetary policy
Remsperger, Hermann; Worms, Andreas - Center for Financial Studies - 1999
For some time now the buzzword 'transparency' has been bandied about in the media almost daily. For example, calls were … made for greater transparency in the financial system in connection with developments in the Asian financial markets. But … the call for greater transparency goes far beyond the financial markets. It is now regarded as a necessary part of good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958721
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Is optimal monetary policy always optimal?
Davig, Troy; Gürkaynak, Refet S. - 2015
No. And not only for the reason you think. In a world with multiple inefficiencies the single policy tool the central bank has control over will not undo all inefficiencies; this is well understood. We argue that the world is better characterized by multiple inefficiencies and multiple policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310396
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Measuring euro area monetary policy
Altavilla, Carlo; Brugnolini, Luca; Gürkaynak, Refet S.; … - 2019
We study the information flow from the ECB on policy dates since its inception, using tick data. We show that three factors capture about all of the variation in the yield curve but that these are different factors with different variance shares in the window that contains the policy decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019809
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Stock market's assessment of monetary policy transmission: The cash flow effect
Gürkaynak, Refet S.; Karasoy-Can, Hatice Gökçe; Lee, … - 2019
We show that firm liability structure and associated cash flow matter for firm behavior, and that financial market participants price stocks accordingly. Looking at firm level stock price changes around monetary policy announcements, we find that firms that have more cash flow exposure see their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113996
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Monetary policy surprises and exchange rate behavior
Gürkaynak, Refet S.; Kara, Ali Hakan; Kısacıkoğlu, … - 2020
Central banks unexpectedly tightening policy rates often observe the exchange value of their currency depreciate, rather than appreciate as predicted by standard models. We document this for Fed and ECB policy days using event studies and ask whether an information effect, where the public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012290996
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Exchange rate and inflation under weak monetary policy: Turkey verifies theory
Gürkaynak, Refet S.; Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin; Lee, … - 2022
For the academic audience, this paper presents the outcome of a well-identifted, large change in the monetary policy rule from the lens of a standard New Keynesian model and asks whether the model properly captures the effects. For policymakers, it presents a cautionary tale of the dismal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013202462
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Macroeconomic stabilisation and monetary policy effectiveness in a low-interest-rate environment
Coenen, Günter; Montes-Galdón, Carlos; Schmidt, Sebastian - 2021
The secular decline in the equilibrium real interest rate observed over the past decades has materially limited the room for policy-rate reductions in recessions, and has led to a marked increase in the incidence of episodes where policy rates are likely to be at, or near, the effective lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619146
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Inflation expectations, inflation target credibility and the COVID-19 pandemic: New evidence from Germany
Coleman, Winnie; Nautz, Dieter - 2021
Using the exact wording of the ECB's definition of price-stability, we started a representative online survey of German citizens in January 2019 that is designed to measure long-term inflation expectations and the credibility of the inflation target. Our results indicate that credibility has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669294
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Communication of monetary policy in unconventional times
Coenen, Günter; Ehrmann, Michael; Gaballo, Gaetano; … - 2017
Monetary policy communication is particularly important during unconventional times, because high uncertainty about the economy, the introduction of new policy tools and possible limits to the central bank's toolkit could hamper the predictability of policy actions. We study how monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760098