Inoue, Atsushi; Kilian, Lutz - 2020 - This version: November 2, 2020
functions. We also derive joint credible regions for vectors of impulse responses as the lowest posterior risk region under the … not a valid measure of the estimation uncertainty about the impulse response vector because they ignore the mutual … dependence of the responses. In practice, they tend to understate substantially the estimation uncertainty about the impulse …