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Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment

Coenen, Günter; Montes-Galdón, Carlos; Smets, Frank - 2020

We study the incidence and severity of lower-bound episodes and the efficacy of three types of state-dependent policies - forward guidance about the future path of interest rates, large-scale asset purchases and spending-based fiscal stimulus - in ameliorating the adverse consequences stemming...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149021

The zero-interest-rate and the role of the exchange rate for monetary policy in Japan

Coenen, Günter; Wieland, Volker - 2003

interest rates as experienced in Japan since the mid-1990s. Our analysis is based on an estimated model of Japan, the United … impact of the zero bound on the effectiveness of interest rate policy in Japan in terms of stabilizing output and inflation … the zero bound and evade a potential liquidity trap. Finally, we investigate the international consequences of these …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765351

The zero-interest-rate and the role of the exchange rate for monetary policy in Japan

Coenen, Günter; Wieland, Volker - 2003

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001757651

Optimal monetary policy inertia

Woodford, Michael - 1999

This paper considers the desirability of the observed tendency of central banks to adjust interest rates only gradually in response to changes in economic conditions. It shows, in the context of a simple model of optimizing private-sector behavior, that such inertial behavior on the part of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009768269

Macroeconomic stabilisation and monetary policy effectiveness in a low-interest-rate environment

Coenen, Günter; Montes-Galdón, Carlos; Schmidt, Sebastian - 2021

The secular decline in the equilibrium real interest rate observed over the past decades has materially limited the room for policy-rate reductions in recessions, and has led to a marked increase in the incidence of episodes where policy rates are likely to be at, or near, the effective lower...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613426

Three great American disinflations

Bordo, Michael D.; Erceg, Christopher J.; Levin, Andrew T. - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003448346

Robustly optimal monetary policy with near-rational expectations

Woodford, Michael (contributor) - 2005

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003448470

Data uncertainty and the role of money as an information variable for monetary policy

Coenen, Günter; Levin, Andrew T.; Wieland, Volker - 2003

In this study, we perform a quantitative assessment of the role of money as an indicator variable for monetary policy in the euro area. We document the magnitude of revisions to euro area-wide data on output, prices, and money, and find that monetary aggregates have a potentially significant...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765349

A small estimated euro area model with rational expectations and nominal rigidities

Coenen, Günter; Wieland, Volker - 2003

In this paper we estimate a small model of the euro area to be used as a laboratory for evaluating the performance of alternative monetary policy strategies. We start with the relationship between output and inflation and investigate the fit of the nominal wage contracting model due to Taylor...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765350

Risks to price stability, the zero lower bound and forward guidance : a real-time assessment

Coenen, Günter; Warne, Anders - 2013

This paper employs stochastic simulations of the New Area-Wide Model - microfounded open-economy model developed at the ECB - to investigate the consequences of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates for the evolution of risks to price stability in the euro area during the recent...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010200892