Showing 1 - 10 of 73
) ARCH, GARCH and ARCH-in-mean alternatives; (2) the case where the variance increases monotonically with: (i) one exogenous … expériences de Monte Carlo que nous effectuons portent sur: (1) les alternatives de type ARCH, GARCH and ARCH-en-moyenne; (2) le …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101027
We consider estimates of the parameters of GARCH models of daily financial returns, obtained using intra-day (high … not exist. In particular, we consider estimation in this way of an ARCH approximation, and obtain GARCH parameters by a … estimés des paramètres des modèles GARCH pour les rendements financiers journaliers, qui sont obtenus à l'aide des données …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100771
periodicity in conditional heteroskedasticity. The periodic structures in GARCH models share many properties with periodic ARMA … processes studied by Gladyshev (1961), Tiao and Grupe (1980) and others. We describe the relation between periodic GARCH … processes and time-invariant (seasonal) GARCH processes. Besides the periodic GARCH or P-GARCH process, we also discuss P …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101043
volatility from standard QML-estimated GARCH models, and from projections on past realized volatilities obtained from high … and Wright (2001), that projections on past realized volatility provide better 1-step forecasts than the QML-GARCH … modèles GARCH-QVM standard et à partir de projections directes sur les volatilités réalisées. Nous considérons un horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101091
This paper illustrates the usefulness of resampling based methods in the context of multiple (simultaneous) tests, with emphasis on econometric applications. Economic theory often suggests joint (or simultaneous) hypotheses on econometric models; consequently, the problem of evaluating joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100723
The technique of Monte Carlo (MC) tests [Dwass (1957), Barnard (1963)] provides an attractive method of building exact tests from statistics whose finite sample distribution is intractable but can be simulated (provided it does not involve nuisance parameters). We extend this method in two ways:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100868
popular continuous-time models as GARCH, multi-factor affine, and log-normal diffusions, we find that the realized volatility … en temps continu usuels comme les modèles de diffusion GARCH, affine à plusieurs facteurs, et log-normal, nous trouvons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100878
The Markov Switching Model, introduced by Hamilton (1988, 1989), has been used in various economic and financial applications where changes in regime play potentially an important role. While estimation methods for these models are by now well established, such is not the case for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627155
We test for the presence of time-varying parameters (TVP) in the long-run dynamics of energy prices for oil, natural gas and coal, within a standard class of mean-reverting models. We also propose residual-based diagnostic tests and examine out-of-sample forecasts. In-sample LR tests support the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855593
The paper extends the standard tax evasion model by allowing for social interactions. In Manski's (1993) nomenclature, our model takes into account social conformity effects (i.e., endogenous interactions), fairness effects (i.e., exogenous interactions) and sorting effects (i.e., correlated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100598