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The Electricity Sector in FYR Macedonia
Tieman, Alexander F. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
This paper describes the current state of the Macedonian electricity sector. It looks at ongoing structural changes …, driven by the gradual adoption of the EU acquis on energy, and comes up with estimates for electricity subsidies. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839339
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Modeling and Forecasting the Distribution of Energy Forward Returns - Evidence from the Nordic Power Exchange
Lunde, Asger; Olesen, Kasper V. - School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus - 2014
, forecasting of the full density for long horizons is feasible, which we pursue. We document variability in conditional variances … over time, which stresses the importance of careful modeling and forecasting of volatility. We show that improved model fit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945126
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Financing Infrastructure in India; Macroeconomic Lessons and Emerging Market Case Studies
Walsh, James P; Yu, Jiangyan; Park, Chanho - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
Driving infrastructure development, notably mobilizing financial resources for infrastructure projects, has been challenging in many countries. This study includes two parts: an empirical analysis of macroeconomic risks associated with infrastructure booms, and a case study of four emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009203552
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Modeling Macro-Critical Energy Sectors in Low-Income Countries; A General Framework and An Application to Côte D'Ivoire
Fabig, Holger - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
as consisting of the three subsectors of crude oil and natural gas production, refinery, and electricity production. It … electricity sector, and inefficient government subsidies in the latter two subsectors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604798
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Made in Mexico: Energy Reform and Manufacturing Growth
Alvarez, Jorge; Valencia, Fabian - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
energy prices, we find electricity prices––relative to oil and gas––to be more important in the manufacturing process …, with a one standard deviation reduction in electricity prices leading to a 2.8 percent increase in manufacturing output …. Our estimated elasticities together with plausible reductions in electricity tariffs derived from the energy reform, could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242302
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The Great Contractions in Russia, the Baltics and the Other Countries of the Former Soviet Union; A View From the Supply Side
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2000
The output contractions during the initial transition stages in the Baltics and in Russia and the other CIS countries are examined across several dimensions, and the reliability of the available official statistics evaluated. The depth, length and breadth of the contractions are studied and set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263697
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Quasi-Fiscal Deficits and Energy Conditionality in Selected CIS Countries
Saavalainen, Tapio; Berge, Joy Mylène ten - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
Quasi-fiscal deficits of public utility companies are common in all member countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). They constitute a significant impediment to efficient resource allocation and endanger macroeconomic stability. This paper presents a simple framework for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768963
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Market Power in Power Markets: Evidence from Forward Prices of Electricity
Christensen, Bent Jesper; Jensen, Thomas Elgaard; … - School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus - 2007
We examine the forward market for electricity for indications of misuse of market power. The data source is a unique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440069
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Diffusion Indexes with Sparse Loadings
Kristensen, Johannes Tang - School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus - 2013
The use of large-dimensional factor models in forecasting has received much attention in the literature with the … model which is better suited for forecasting compared to the traditional principal components (PC) approach.We provide an … asymptotic analysis of the estimator and illustrate its merits empirically in a forecasting experiment based on US macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851192
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Estimating High-Dimensional Time Series Models
Medeiros, Marcelo C.; Mendes, Eduardo F. - School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus - 2012
We study the asymptotic properties of the Adaptive LASSO (adaLASSO) in sparse, high-dimensional, linear time-series models. We assume both the number of covariates in the model and candidate variables can increase with the number of observations and the number of candidate variables is,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851219