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Indian Economic Outlook 2008-09 and 2009-10

Kumar, Rajiv - 2009

This paper provides an outlook for the Indian economy in the light of the extraordinary global financial crisis, that started in the US, but which has now transformed into the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. The Indian economy was slowing down even before the onset of global...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807640

Oracle Efficient Estimation and Forecasting with the Adaptive LASSO and the Adaptive Group LASSO in Vector Autoregressions

Kock, Anders Bredahl; Callot, Laurent A.F. - School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus - 2012

variable selection and estimation in one step. We evaluate the forecasting accuracy of these estimators for a large set of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851261

Minsky and the subprime mortgage crisis: The financial instability hypothesis in the era of financialization

Caverzasi, Eugenio - 2014

The aim of this paper is to develop a structural explanation of the subprime mortgage crisis, grounded on the combination of two apparently incompatible financial theories: the financial instability hypothesis by Hyman P. Minsky and the theory of capital market inflation by Jan Toporowski. Our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513054

ECB worries/European woes: The economic consequences of parochial policy

Barbera, Robert J.; Holtham, Gerald - 2012

Financial market crises with the threat of a subsequent debt-deflation depression have occurred with increasing regularity in the United States from 1980 through the present. Almost reflexively, when confronted with such circumstances, US institutions and the policymakers that run them have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318632

A Minskyan road to financial reform

Wray, L. Randall - 2011

In the aftermath of the global financial collapse that began in 2007, governments around the world have responded with reform. The outlines of Basel III have been announced, although some have already dismissed its reform agenda as being too little (and too late!). Like the proposed reforms in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281697

Minsky's money manager capitalism and the global financial crisis

Wray, L. Randall - 2011

The world's worst economic crisis since the 1930s is now well into its third year. All sorts of explanations have been proffered for the causes of the crisis, from lax regulation and oversight to excessive global liquidity. Unfortunately, these narratives do not take into account the systemic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281722

Minsky crisis

Wray, L. Randall - 2011

Stability is destabilizing. These three words concisely capture the insight that underlies Hyman Minsky's analysis of the economy's transformation over the entire postwar period. The basic thesis is that the dynamic forces of a capitalist economy are explosive and must be contained by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281733

Financial Keynesianism and market instability

Wray, L. Randall - 2011

In this paper I will follow Hyman Minsky in arguing that the postwar period has seen a slow transformation of the economy from a structure that could be characterized as robust to one that is fragile. While many economists and policymakers have argued that no one saw it coming, Minsky and his...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281738

Money manager capitalism and the global financial crisis

Wray, L. Randall - 2009

This paper applies Hyman Minsky's approach to provide an analysis of the causes of the global financial crisis. Rather than finding the origins in recent developments, this paper links the crisis to the long-term transformation of the economy from a robust financial structure in the 1950s to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281753

Simulation-based valuation of project finance: does model complexity really matter?

Weber, Florian; Schmid, Thomas; Pietz, Matthäus; … - 2010

forecasting techniques, e.g. correlation forecasts based on historical values and on a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model … varied. We find that the applied volatility forecasting models have a strong influence on the expected net present value … distribution and on the probability of default. In contrast, correlation forecasting models play a minor role. Time resolution and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305715