We propose a semiparametric local polynomial Whittle with noise (LPWN) estimator of the memory parameter in long memory time series perturbed by a noise term which may be serially correlated. The estimator approximates the spectrum of the perturbation as well as that of the short-memory...

Structural change affects the estimation of economic signals, like the underlying growth rate or the seasonally adjusted series. An important issue, which has attracted a great deal of attention also in the seasonal adjustment literature, is its detection by an expert procedure. The...

We address the problem of selecting the common factors that are relevant for forecasting macroeconomic variables. In economic forecasting using diffusion indexes the factors are ordered, according to their importance, in terms of relative variability, and are the same for each variable to...