Using data from 1980 to 2004, we show that greater fiscal policy volatility acts as a transmission mechanism for the "resource curse". Resource exports dominate political and institutional variables as determinants of fiscal policy volatility, with fiscal policy volatility being a significant...

This paper assesses the current state of evidence on the widely debated issue of the impact of trade policy reform on poverty in developing countries. There is relatively little empirical evidence addressing this question directly, but a lot of related evidence concerning specific aspects. This...

Previous work has investigated whether political instability has a negative effect on economic growth, with mixed results, largely because political instability can take various forms. Using synthetic control methodology, which constructs a counterfactual in the absence of political instability,...

The procyclicality of fiscal policy that is prevalent in developing countries and emerging markets is well known. Its explanation is less clear. Recently, social inequality and the combination of corruption and democracy have been suggested as alternatives to the traditional explanation of these...

This paper develops an index measuring the adequacy of the institutions, rules and procedures governing the budget process in 46 African countries, presenting the most comprehensive analysis of African budget institutions hitherto conducted. The index includes the three stages of the budget...

Previous research has found that the relationship between fiscal deficits and inflation is conditional on income levels: deficits tend to be inflationary in developing countries but not in advanced economies. We show that within low-income countries (LICs) the relationship is again conditional:...