Economic emergence of the People's Republic of China (PRC) and India has fundamentally altered the economic landscape of Asia and its relation to the global economy. Using the new dynamic global model, we present forecasts for Asian expansion over 2025. These baseline growth forecasts elucidate...

Throughout human history, technology has proven its ability to contribute to higher material living standards, yet the work of poverty alleviation is far from complete. We believe that in the modern age, biotechnology holds remarkable potential for reducing poverty and its attendant adversities....

Trade policies can promote aggregate efficiency, but the ensuing structural adjustments generally create both winners and losers. From an incomes perspective, trade liberalization can raise GDP per capita, but rates of emergence from poverty depend upon individual household characteristics of...

This document presents a prototype specification for a real computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The prototype has some key features for assessing structural and poverty impacts:

Over two-thirds of Vietnam’s population reside in the rural sector, and recent economic reform initiatives may not realize their full potential to benefit the rural sector if rural links to the rest of the economy are too weak. In this paper, we demonstrate how multiplier decomposition methods...

Vietnam started a process of economic reform in 1986 and is presently opening up its economy to regional and global economic forces. As a result, Vietnam faces significant challenges in the area of economic policy analysis. This paper reviews insights emerging from a detailed social accounting...

Globalization poses special challenges for economies in transition, particularly those which have been slow to reform systems of administered prices. Such allocation mechanisms now encounter significant friction from external market forces, and it is vital for policymakers to better anticipate...

This study presents a set of assessments of the long term economic effects of Vietnam’s accession to the WTO. Generally speaking, our results indicate that Vietnam would benefit from accelerating its participation in more open multilateralism. However, it is also clear from our analysis that...