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probabilities. The probabilities are parameterized as nonlinear functions of variables suggested by the currency crisis and optimal …
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Which countries find it optimal to form an economic union? We emphasize the risk-sharing benefits of economic integration. We consider an endowment world economy model, where international financial markets are incomplete and contracts not enforceable. A union solves both frictions among member...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933664
In this paper, we measure the welfare costs/gains associated with financial market incompleteness in a monetary union …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005015235
This paper documents and explains the positive comovement between external and budget deficits for several developing countries. First, the covariance estimated from post-1960 time-series data is numerically positive for each of the 24 countries and statistically significant for almost all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005015236
We study the effects of U.S. monetary policy shocks on the bilateral exchange rate between the U.S. and each of the G7 countries. We also estimate deviations from uncovered interest rate parity and exchange rate pass-through conditional on these shocks. The analysis is based on a structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005015281
We study the effects of tax shocks on the budget and external deficits for 16 industrialized countries over the post-1975 period. Our structural approach is based on a tractable small open-economy model where a tax cut innovation generates a budget deficit. In turn, the budget deficit affects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005015312
A robust prediction across a wide range of open-economy macroeconomic models is that an unanticipated increase in public spending in a given country appreciates it currency in real terms. This result, however, contradicts the findings of a number of recent empirical studies, which instead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533962