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In this paper, we introduce a new approach for volatility modeling in discrete and continuous time.
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This paper exploits the term structure of interest rates to develop testable economic restrictions on the joint process of long-term interest rates and inflation when the latter is subject to a targeting policy by the Central Bank.
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Using data from three waves of the General Social Survey on retirement and older workers (1994, 2002 and 2007), we document the evolution of retirement patterns over the last three decades. We combined the analysis of retirement ages of actual retirees with data on expected retirement ages of...
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long-term contract. We then find that almost all members have made the right decision once we use subjectives expectations …
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possibilities are given in a stochastic sense and based on revisable expectations. The theory predicts experimental preference …
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