Showing 1 - 10 of 104
This paper addresses the question of the selection of multivariate GARCH models in terms of variance matrix forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008595652
This paper compares the forecasting performance of different models which have been proposed for forecasting in the … forecasting in the vast majority of cases. However, we find no single forecasting model consistently works best in the presence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833199
framework. However, little is known about the ranking of multivariate volatility models in terms of their forecasting ability … foreign exchange rates, where we compare the forecasting performance of 16 multivariate GARCH specifications, is provided. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008567826
conclusions. First, an asymmetric GARCH specification is essential when forecasting the 95% value-at-risk. Second, for both the 95 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010660037
To match the stylized facts of high frequency financial time series precisely and parsimoniously, this paper presents a finite mixture of conditional exponential power distributions where each component exhibits asymmetric conditional heteroskedasticity. We provide stationarity conditions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005784565
We develop a Markov-switching GARCH model (MS-GARCH) wherein the conditional mean and variance switch in time from one GARCH process to another. The switching is governed by a hidden Markov chain. We provide sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity and existence of moments of the process....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005489846
We develop a Markov-switching GARCH model (MS-GARCH) wherein the conditional mean and variance switch in time from one GARCH process to another. The switching is governed by a hidden Markov chain. We provide sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity and existence of moments of the process....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005015271
To match the stylized facts of high frequency financial time series precisely and parsimoniously, this paper presents a finite mixture of conditional exponential power distributions where each component exhibits asymmetric conditional heteroskedasticity. We provide stationarity conditions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005015279
We develop univariate regime-switching GARCH (RS-GARCH) models wherein the conditional variance switches in time from one GARCH process to another. The switching is governed by a time-varying probability, specified as a function of past information. We provide sufficient conditions for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651462
The Gaussian kernel density estimator is known to have substantial problems for bounded random variables with high density at the boundaries. For i.i.d. data several solutions have been put forward to solve this boundary problem. In this paper we propose the gamma kernel estimator as density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651470