This paper uses semiparametric and parametric time-series methods to model the non-linear agro-climatic output relationship for the British economy during the period 1867-1913.

This paper compares the effects of weather shocks on agricultural production in Britain, France and Germany during the late nineteenth century. Using semi- parametric models to estimate the non-linear agro-weather relationship, we find that weather shocks explain between one and two-thirds of...