This paper uses semiparametric time-series methods to model the effects of weather variations on the output growth rate of the construction sector. The paper also employs structural time-series methods to model the cyclical paths of weather variables and uses this information to evaluate the...

This paper uses semiparametric time-series methods to model the non-linear effects of weather variations on the output growth rate of the construction sector. The study is undertaken at both the annual and quarterly frequencies; the results show that weather shocks have significant effects on...

This paper compares the effects of weather shocks on agricultural production in Britain, France and Germany during the late nineteenth century. Using semi- parametric models to estimate the non-linear agro-weather relationship, we find that weather shocks explain between one and two-thirds of...