Showing 1 - 10 of 155
We set out Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) as a full DSGE model, and test it by indirect inference on post Financial Crisis US data, alongside a standard New Keynesian, NK, model. The MMT model is rejected, while the NK model has a high probability. We then evaluate replacing the Öscal and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480461
We revisit the determinants of house prices in Chinaís megacities. Previous work on similar topics fails to account for the widespread cross-sectional heterogeneity and interdependencies, despite the importance of them. Using a PVAR estimated by the Bayesian method allowing for these features,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012876014
We investigate what determines China's housing price dynamics using a DSGE-VAR estimated with priors allowing for the featured operating of normal and "shadow" banks in China, with data observed between 2001 and 2014. We find that the housing demand shock, which is the essential factor for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787162
A canonical DSGE model for housing, extended to embrace government spending and governmentinvestment, is estimated on Chinese data to evaluate the impact of Öscal policy on house prices. Govern-ment spending substitutes for housing; a rise in government spending lowers house prices, but its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429998
We examine whether by adding a credit channel to the standard New Keynesian model we can account better for the behaviour of US macroeconomic data up to and including the banking crisis. We use the method of indirect inference which evaluates statistically how far a model's simulated behaviour...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903803
The banking crisis has caused a resurgence of interest in behavioural models of expectations in macroeconomics. Here we evaluate behavioural and rational expectations econometrically in a New Keynesian framework, using US post-war data and the method of indirect inference. We find that after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010640981
We examine whether by adding a credit channel to the standard New Keynesian model we can account better for the behaviour of US macroeconomic data up to and including the banking crisis. We use the method of indirect inference which evaluates statistically how far a model is simulated behaviour...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288826
The banking crisis has caused a resurgence of interest in behavioural models of expectations in macroeconomics. Here we evaluate behavioural and rational expectations econometrically in a New Keynesian framework, using US post-war data and the method of indirect inference. We find that after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288865
We investigate whether the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (FTPL) can explain UK inflation in the 1970s. We confront the identification problem involved by setting up the FTPL as a structural model for the episode and pitting it against an alternative Orthodox model; the models have a reduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903790
We add the Bernanke-Gertler-Gilchrist model to a world model consisting of the US, the Eurozone and the Rest of the World in order to explore the causes of the banking crisis. We test the model against linear-detrended data and reestimate it by indirect inference; the resulting model passes the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903794