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The ECB's New Multi-Country Model for the euro area : NMCM - with boundedly rational learning expectations
Dieppe, Alistair; Pandiella, Alberto González; Hall, … - 2011
Rational expectations has been the dominant way to model expectations, but the literature has quickly moved to a more realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form their expectations. A standard assumption is that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935830
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Money and prices in models of bounded rationality in high inflation economies
Marcet, Albert (contributor);  … - 2005
This paper studies the short run correlation of inflation and money growth. We study whether a model of learning does better or worse than a model of rational expectations, and we focus our study on countries of high inflation. We take the money process as an exogenous variable, estimated from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002821110
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Introducing dominant currency pricing in the ECB's global macroeconomic model
Georgiadis, Georgios; Mösle, Saskia - 2019
A large share of global trade being priced and invoiced primarily in US dollar rather than the exporter's or the importer's currency has important implications for the transmission of shocks. We introduce this "dominant currency pricing" (DCP) into ECB-Global, the ECB's macroeconomic model for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012107938
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Infinite-dimensional VARs and factor models
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2009
This paper introduces a novel approach for dealing with the "curse of dimensionality" in the case of large linear dynamic systems. Restrictions on the coefficients of an unrestricted VAR are proposed that are binding only in a limit as the number of endogenous variables tends to infinity. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831142
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Financial integration, specialization and systemic risk
Fecht, Falko; Grüner, Hans Peter; Hartmann, Philipp - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765228
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Central clearing and collateral demand
Duffie, Darrell; Scheicher, Martin; Vuillemey, Guillaume - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010380081
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Global risk and the dollar
Georgiadis, Georgios; Müller, Gernot J.; Schumann, Ben - 2021
How does global risk impact the world economy? In taking up this question, we focus on the dollar’s role in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705529
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The role of comovement and time-varying dynamics in forecasting commodity prices
Allayioti, Anastasia; Venditti, Fabrizio - 2024
Commodity prices co-move, but the strength of this co-movement changes over time due to structural factors, like changing energy intensity in production and consumption as well as changing composition of underlying shocks. This paper explores whether econometric models that exploit this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486704
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Competition and stability : what's special about banking?
Carletti, Elena; Hartmann, Philipp - 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001670916
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America First? : a US-centric view of global capital flows
McQuade, Peter; Schmitz, Martin - 2019
with those of the rest of the world. We analyse the relative importance of US, country-specific, and global variables as …. Global and national risk indicators perform better in explaining "rest of the world" flows. Moreover, we find that the … correlation between US and rest of the world flows peaks in periods of elevated uncertainty. We interpret our findings as evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975553