This paper assesses several early warning (EWS) models of financial crises to propose a model that can predict the incidence of a currency crisis in developing countries. For this purpose, we employ the equal weighting (EW) and dynamic model averaging (DMA) approaches to combine forecast from...

Central Bank speeches usually function as aggregators of internal quantitative and qualitative analysis of the institutions regarding the macro economy, the monetary policy and the health of the financial systems. Speeches usually function as a summary of the current status of a countries...

The aim of this paper is to construct the first comprehensive Financial Stress Index for Lebanon, dubbed the IFEFSI (Institute of Financial Economics Financial Stress Index). This is a broad coincident composite index that includes three different market segments; the banking sector, the...

The paper aims to analyze the effect of bank risk appetite on banks' default probabilities during the year of COVID-19 in 12 countries while controlling for bank-specific and country-specific effects over time. A System Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) model of default probabilities is...

This paper provides cross-country analysis of local bond market term premia in emerging countries. In order to investigate the role of domestic and global factors in the determination of compensation demanded by investors for their medium and long term fixed income investments, term premia is...

Housing market developments have been attracting a great deal of attention in Turkey. Concerns related to supply, particularly at the higher segment of the market, lead these discussions. In this respect, basic regression estimations indicate that over the post-2010 period, income elasticity of...