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The ORANI-F model of the Australian economy is closely based on the original ORANI model (Dixon, Parmenter, Sutton and Vincent, 1982), which has been used for many policy analyses in Australia. However, as well as having a more recent database, ORANI-F is a forecasting model: it includes some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008522655
A computable general equilibrium model of the South African economy (IDC-GEM) is outlined. The model is used to analyse the effects on the economy of increases in government spending such as are at the core of the new government's Reconstruction and Development Program. The analysis concentrates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005001202
This paper presents an overview of the Monash Multi-Regional Forecasting-Green (MMRF-Green) model. MMRF-Green is a multi-regional, multi-sectoral model of the Australian economy. It is founded on the MMR model. MMR is a comparative-static model. MMRF-Green, in contrast, is a dynamic model;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005031666
Plans for APEC trade liberalisation include the elimination of all tariffs between member states. In this paper we use two computable general equilibrium models to examine the effects of these plans, focussing on China. Our modelling shows that liberalisation increases China's capital stock and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005032961
ORANI is a detailed general equilibrium model of the Australian economy. It has been applied many times by economists in universities, government departments and business in analyses of the effects on industries, occupational groups and regions of changes in policy variables (e.g., taxes and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365015
MONASH-RES combines a top-down regional equation system with the MONASH dynamic model of Australia to produce regional forecasts or policy analysis. Experience indicates that MONASH-RES gives acceptable rankings of regional economic prospects but understates inter-regional differences. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005001199
We report ORANI projections of the short-run effects on the macroeconomy and the industrial structure of the main elements of the Fightback proposals, namely the proposed abolition of the wholesale sales tax, petroleum excise and the payroll tax, proposed cuts in income taxes and government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005032924
Computable general equilibrium modelling in Australia is oriented towards providing inputs to the policy-formation process, a process that requires detail. We explain how the necessary level of detail can be provided using analysis of the potential economic impacts of a carbon price on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010773876
In response to oil price rises and carbon emission concerns, policies promoting increased ethanol usage in gasoline blends are being implemented by many countries, including major energy users such as USA, EU and Japan. As a result, Brazil, as the largest ethanol producer and exporter in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005031661
When a general equilibrium model is solved, there are often a large number of exogenous shocks. The change in each endogenous variable obviously depends on these different shocks. We point out a natural way of decomposing the changes (or percentage changes) in the endogenous variables as sums of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005032939